in the midst of war and crisis nothing is as clear or as certain as it appears in hindsight
Barbara TuchmanThe unrecorded past is none other than our old friend, the tree in the primeval forest which fell without being heard
Barbara TuchmanPolicy is formed by preconceptions, by long implanted biases. When information is relayed to policy-makers, they respond in terms of what is already inside their heads and consequently make policy less to fit the facts than to fit the notions and intentions formed out of the mental baggage that has accumulated in their minds since childhood.
Barbara TuchmanIt is wiser, I believe, to arrive at theory by way of evidence rather than the other way around.... It is more rewarding, in any case, to assemble the facts first and, in the process of arranging them in narrative form, to discover a theory or a historical generalization emerging of its own accord.
Barbara Tuchman