In the corporate world, if you have analysts, due diligence, and no horse sense, you've just described hell.
Charlie MungerWe look for a horse with one chance in two of winning and which pays you three to one.
Charlie MungerThe name of the game is continuing to learn. Even if you're very well trained and have some natural aptitude, you still need to keep learning.
Charlie MungerBlack-Scholes works for short-term options, but if it's a long-term option and you think you know something [about the underlying asset], it's insane to use Black-Scholes.
Charlie MungerFailure to handle psychological denial is a common way for people to go broke: you have made an enormous commitment to something. You have poured effort and money in. And the more you put in, the more that the whole consistency principle makes you think, "Now it has to work. If I put in just a little more, then it will work."
Charlie Munger