We're guessing at our future opportunity cost. Warrenis guessing that he'll have the opportunity to put capital out at high rates of return, so he's not willing to put it out at less than 10% now. But if we knew interest rates would stay at 1%, we'd change. Our hurdles reflect our estimate of future opportunity costs.
Charlie MungerIf you, like me, lived through 1973-74 or even the early 1990s... There was a waiting list to get OUT of the country club - that's when you know things are tough. If you live long enough, you'll see it.
Charlie MungerIf you turn on the television, you'll find the mothers of the most obvious criminals that man could ever diagnose, and they all think their sons are innocent. That's simple psychological denial. The reality is too painful to bear, so you just distort it until it's bearable. We all do that to some extent, and it's a common psychological misjudgment that causes terrible problems.
Charlie MungerYou don't have to be brilliant, only a little bit wiser than the other guys, on average, for a long, long, time.
Charlie MungerPart of that, I think, is being able to tune out folly, as distinguished from recognizing wisdom. You've got whole categories of things you just bat away so your brain isn't cluttered with them. That way, you're better able to pick up a few sensible things to do.
Charlie MungerPractically everybody (1) overweighs the stuff that can be numbered, because it yields to the statistical techniques theyโre taught in academia, and (2) doesnโt mix in the hard-to-measure stuff that may be more important. That is a mistake Iโve tried all my life to avoid, and I have no regrets for having done that.
Charlie Munger