Tax increases appear to have a very large sustained and highly significant negative impact on output.
Christina RomerIn the four decades after World War II, manufacturing jobs paid more than other jobs for given skills. But that is much less true today. Increased international competition has forced American manufacturers to reduce costs. As a result, the pay premium for low-skilled workers in manufacturing is smaller than it once was.
Christina RomerWhat I desire to point out is that I wish the law was not so, but that being the law, I must follow it.
Christina RomerCold-turkey deficit reduction would cause a significant recession. A recent analysis by the Congressional Budget Office estimated that going headlong over the cliff would cause our gross domestic product, which has been growing at an annual rate of around 2 percent, to fall at a rate of 2.9 percent in the first half of 2013.
Christina Romer