I don't think Donald Trump is going to lose by 15 points to Hillary Clinton or even 10. The country still feels too polarized for that to happen.

I do think that even if the average person doesn't care, it IS a big deal. Like, it's been a foundational principle of our democracy for 240 years.

I don't think Hillary Clinton will get any sort of political honeymoon like George W Bush or Barack Obama enjoyed.

I am not sure we are going to see Republican Members endorsing Hillary Clinton. I think we will see plenty say they can't vote for Donald Trump. That doesn't mean they vote for her. They could either not vote, vote for the Libertarian ticket or write someone in.

Nothing makes me crazier than the "you gave us Trump" argument based on Hillary Clinton's emails. I didn't set up the private server. I didn't advise her to be decidedly cryptic about the whole thing. I didn't tell the FBI to investigate.

No one who has followed politics for the last decade thinking about August like quiet month for politics. There are no more quiet times or slow periods. None. Which, frankly, makes it a very good time to be a political writer.

I am not convinced that means [Donald] Trump is a lock to be the next president but it does suggest that what he has tapped into is both lasting and powerful.