I don't think we can rule out a wave, I think a Democratic takeover is possible but not probable.
Christopher Michael CillizzaDonald Trump is doing remarkably badly among non-white voters and there are lots of them in Arizona.
Christopher Michael CillizzaI don't think Donald Trump is going to lose by 15 points to Hillary Clinton or even 10. The country still feels too polarized for that to happen.
Christopher Michael Cillizza