Itโs unlikely to change โ thereโs nothing in King Salmanโs past as governor of Riyadh for about forty years that suggests that he was particularly a reformer, not on the role of women, not on democratic development. Thereโs been a rumor in the last couple of days that he said to someone in an e-mail that heโs in favor of a constitutional monarchy, but I would be surprised if the level of repression started to go down โฆ I think the kind of thing that we would view as significant reforms is unlikely.
Elliott AbramsMass killing has very clearly not been eliminated, nor has the 'international community' developed a response that will avert it or bring it to a quick end.
Elliott AbramsThe ultimate goal is to change Syria's behaviour on a variety of issues - on its interference in Lebanese internal affairs, on its support for Palestinian terrorist groups that oppose the Palestinian Authority, on, most importantly, acting as a land bridge between Iran and Hezbollah, where Hezbollah gets all its arms.
Elliott AbramsOil policy, policy toward the United States, policy toward Iran, Bahrain, Yemen, very unlikely, I think, to see significant change. These policies were the policies that had a wide family consensus. The question I think would be if the king becomes sick, whether you have weak Saudi leadership in the Arab world and the Middle East rather than strong Saudi leadership, but I think the fundamental policies will continue, the ones weโre familiar with under King Abdullah.
Elliott Abrams