And I argued with that intelligence estimate and I think it is a responsibility of policymakers to use their best judgment on the basis of the intelligence they've received.

These are all elements, but the main thing we can do in the Middle East is encourage the reformist elements.

Policymakers have to make judgments based on the best intelligence they get.

Intelligence is not a science.

And I argued with that intelligence estimate and I think it is a responsibility of policymakers to use their best judgment on the basis of the intelligence they've received.

Look at what the Omar of Qatar is doing, for example - the King of Morocco, Jordan, Bahrain. There are reform movements taking place, efforts to broaden the political participation of the populations of the region.

There's clearly something to be said for success and following through on your commitments.