You look at these past predictions like there's only a market in the world for five computers [as allegedly said by IBM founder Thomas Watson] and you realize it's not a good idea to predict too far into the future.
Geoffrey HintonI think we should think of AI as the intellectual equivalent of a backhoe. It will be much better than us at a lot of things.
Geoffrey HintonAs soon as you have good mechanical technology, you can make things like backhoes that can dig holes in the road. But of course a backhoe can knock your head off. But you don't want to not develop a backhoe because it can knock your head off, that would be regarded as silly.
Geoffrey Hinton