My goal is to buy a company at a low multiple to normal earnings power several years out and that the company earns good returns on capital at that level of normal earnings. A holding period of more than one year also works quite well as the factors are persistent in years 2 and 3.
Joel GreenblattChoosing individual stocks without any idea of what you're looking for is like running through a dynamite factory with a burning match. You may live, but you're still an idiot.
Joel GreenblattThereโs a virtuous cycle when people have to defend challenges to their ideas. Any gaps in thinking or analysis become clear pretty quickly when smart people ask good, logical questions. You canโt be a good value investor without being an independent thinker โ youโre seeing valuations that the market is not appreciating. But itโs critical that you understand why the market isnโt seeing the value you do. The back and forth that goes on in the investment process helps you get at that.
Joel GreenblattThe way we make money as a group is that we don't pay a lot for anything, and most of the stocks we buy have low expectations.
Joel GreenblattI still believe that for good business analysts a concentrated portfolio is a good strategy combined with a long term horizon. Once again, the secret to success in following the formula strategy is patience, a quality in short supply for both professionals and individual investors alike. I think investors should have a large portion of their assets in equities over time.
Joel Greenblatt