I don't know too many people that are good at timing the market relative to macro-economic events.

Value investing doesn't always work. The market doesn't always agree with you. Over time, value is roughly the way the market prices stocks, but over the short term, which sometimes can be as long as two or three years, there are periods when it doesn't work. And that is a very good thing. The fact that our value approach doesn't work over periods of time is precisely the reason why it continues to work over the long term.

The more confidence I have in each one of my stock picks, the fewer companies I need to own in my portfolio to feel comfortable.

Choosing individual stocks without any idea of what you're looking for is like running through a dynamite factory with a burning match. You may live, but you're still an idiot.

I don't know too many people that are good at timing the market relative to macro-economic events.

My goal is to buy a company at a low multiple to normal earnings power several years out and that the company earns good returns on capital at that level of normal earnings. A holding period of more than one year also works quite well as the factors are persistent in years 2 and 3.

The secret to investing is to figure out the value of something - and then pay a lot less.