I do not believe that there is any person, method, or tool that can consistently and reliably predict specific human events, X- or otherwise.

What distinguishes a mathematical model from, say, a poem, a song, a portrait or any other kind of "model," is that the mathematical model is an image or picture of reality painted with logical symbols instead of with words, sounds or watercolors.

The unfolding time for the end of globalization or a worldwide deflation is much longer, certainly measured in years, if not decades.

I do not believe that there is any person, method, or tool that can consistently and reliably predict specific human events, X- or otherwise.

In fact, the very nature of an X-event is that it is both rare and surprising. So I would not say that any specific X-event is likely. What I would say, though, is that some X-event is not only plausible, but very likely in a time scale of a few years.

Once the reality sets in of a superhuman intelligence being in control of every aspect of the infrastructures we rely upon for everyday life, we will simply have to try to come to an accommodation with that entity.

Reality is a wave function traveling both backward and forward in time.