This is my long-run forecast in brief: The material conditions of life will continue to get better for most people, in most countries, most of the time, indefinitely. Within a century or two, all nations and most of humanity will be at or above today's Western living standards. I also speculate, however, that many people will continue to think and say that the conditions of life are getting worse.
Julian SimonAdding more people causes problems. But people are also the means to solve these problems. The main fuel to speed the worldโs progress is our stock of knowledge; the brakes are our lack of imagination and unsound social regulations of these activities. The ultimate resource is peopleโespecially skilled, spirited, and hopeful young people endowed with libertyโwho will exert their wills and imaginations for their own benefits, and so inevitably they will benefit the rest of us as well.
Julian SimonThere is only one important resource which has shown a trend of increasing scarcity rather than increasing abundance. That resource is the most important of allโhuman beings. . . . [An] increase in the price of peoplesโ services is a clear indication that people are becoming more scarce even though there are more of us.
Julian SimonPeople call me an optimist, but I'm really an appreciator ... years ago, I was cured of a badly infected finger with antibiotics when once my doctor could have recommended only a hot water soak or, eventually, surgery.... When I was six years old and had scarlet fever, the first of the miracle drugs, sulfanilamide, saved my life. I'm grateful for computers and photocopiers ... I appreciate where we've come from.
Julian SimonThis is my long-run forecast in brief: The material conditions of life will continue to get better for most people, in most countries, most of the time, indefinitely. Within a century or two, all nations and most of humanity will be at or above today's Western living standards. I also speculate, however, that many people will continue to think and say that the conditions of life are getting worse.
Julian Simon