Because prison sentences in America tend to be long, de-incarceration lags falling crime rates by a fair amount, but eventually it does catch up.
Kevin DrumIn America, the economy is simply nowhere near bad enough to serve as the base of any kind of serious political revolution.
Kevin DrumSo many theories. But all of them have one thing in common: They demonstrate that although Trump isnโt much of a businessman, he is rich enough to hire good tax attorneys who will hand over huge stacks of forms for him to sign blindly. Thatโs a helluva qualification for president, isnโt it?
Kevin DrumIn other words, in the same way that mass incarceration surged because of a real thing, it's finally starting to ebb because of a real thing: the actual, concrete decline in violent crime that started in the early 90s and which appears to be permanent. America is simply a safer place than it used to be, and looks set to stay that way.
Kevin Drum