On the other side, you have the conservative intelligentsia - magazines like National Review, which has a big anti-Trump issue; Weekly Standard editor, conservative talk show hosts - they're mounting a big anti-Trump effort, pro-Cruz effort because they think [Donald] Trump is dangerous and he's not qualified to be commander in chief.

Ted Cruz is a small-government conservative.

The winner's margin of victory also matters. If it's a squeaker, that will make the lessons learned for both parties much murkier.

Does Donald Trump accept the results and concede graciously, pursue legal action, or tell his followers to take to the streets?

I think that's why we see this mixed reaction - Republican congressional leaders like Paul Ryan speaking out very firmly, but Republican candidates not as much, with the exception of the candidates in the single digits like Jeb Bush or Lindsey Graham, who said how to make America great again tell - Donald Trump to go to hell.

This year [2016], however, polls show [Hillary] Clinton winning white college-educated voters by double digits.

In 2012, Hispanics were 10 percent of the electorate, underperforming their share of the voting-age population. Mitt Romney got 21 percent of their vote, and [Donald] Trump has been polling much lower than that.