The establishment is divorcing itself from its base - from voters who are choosing a candidate who says he stands for things that are anathema to the establishment.

For Democrats, anything less than 15 net pickups will be a disappointing outcome [in presidency race].

Does Donald Trump accept the results and concede graciously, pursue legal action, or tell his followers to take to the streets?

This year [2016], however, polls show [Hillary] Clinton winning white college-educated voters by double digits.

The Republican Party, right now, is a conservative populist party.

The lesson is that voters in both parties are in a very anti-establishment, populist mood. Hillary Clinton is the establishment candidate.

If they can get 15 or higher, it will be a very bad night for House Speaker Paul Ryan. Ryan twisted himself into a pretzel by endorsing but not always supporting Donald Trump. Now, he's facing the prospect of a slimmer majority, with fewer moderates. Conservative members in the Freedom Caucus have already sent warning shots threatening Ryan's tenure as speaker.