Above all, recognize that if you have had success, you have also had luck — and with luck comes obligation. You owe a debt, and not just to your Gods. You owe a debt to the unlucky.

In their leaders, advisers, and experts, people much prefer overconfidence, total certainty, to any kind of doubt.

Baseball is this intense subculture that actually doesn't speak very much for the larger culture.

Just because you've been successful and just because you've disrupted an environment, doesn't mean you're a role model or that you actually have anything to teach anybody. There's an awful lot of luck and accident in the world, and maybe you were just on the receiving end of that.

Don't be deceived by life's outcomes. Life's outcomes, while not entirely random, have a huge amount of luck baked into them.

We aren't natural statisticians. What we are is natural storytelling machines. And so what we do after we have the facts in hand is build a story to explain the facts.

People in the voting booth are not purely rational creatures any more than they're purely rational creatures outside the voting booth.