The inability to predict outliers implies the inability to predict the course of history
Nassim Nicholas TalebNobody reads the disclosures that roll down your computer screen. You click 'I agree' but you don't know what you're agreeing to.
Nassim Nicholas TalebI'm a capitalist but one who is smallist and localist, and who favours businesses where owners are still in charge.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference
Nassim Nicholas Taleb