Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.

Life is a tightrope between two errors: generalizing the wrong particular and particularizing the wrong general.

An ad hominem attack against an individual, not against an idea, is highly flattering. It indicates that the person does not have anything intelligent to say about your message.

Scepticism is effortful and costly. It is better to be sceptical about matters of large consequences, and be imperfect, foolish and human in the small and the aesthetic.

The three most harmful addictions are heroin, carbohydrates, and a monthly salary.

If you see fraud and do not say fraud, you are a fraud.

Don't aim to be perfect! Aim to be antifragile