When you develop your opinions on the basis of weak evidence, you will have difficulty interpreting subsequent information that contradicts these opinions, even if this new information is obviously more accurate.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe imagination of the genius vastly surpasses his intellect; the intellect of the academic vastly surpasses his imagination
Nassim Nicholas TalebBitcoin is the beginning of something great: a currency without a government, something necessary and imperative.
Nassim Nicholas TalebIf you sat with a pencil and jotted down all the decisions you've taken in the past week, or, if you could, over your lifetime, you would realize that almost all of them have had asymmetric payoff, with one side carrying a larger consequence than the other. You decide principally based on fragility, not probability. Or to rephrase, You decide principally based on fragility, not so much on True/False.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb