A good rule of thumb is as follows: If the numbers come from somebody wearing a tie (Wall Street economist or analyst, industry public relations department, captive think tank academic and so on), you ought to be very skeptical. By design messages from these people are intended to move markets, move merchandise and/or move public policy and are not a comment on the state of the physical universe.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe fastest way to become rich is to socialize with the poor; the fastest way to become poor is to socialize with the rich.
Nassim Nicholas TalebCapitalism is about adventurers who get harmed by their mistakes, not people who harm others with their mistakes.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe difference between technology and slavery is that slaves are fully aware that they are not free
Nassim Nicholas Taleb