I've always believed that a speculative bubble need not lead to a recession, as long as interest rates are cut quickly enough to stimulate alternative investments. But I had to face the fact that speculative bubbles usually are followed by recessions. My excuse has been that this was because the policy makers moved too slowly - that central banks were typically too slow to cut interest rates in the face of a burst bubble, giving the downturn time to build up a lot of momentum.
Paul KrugmanThere has been plenty to criticize about President Obamaโs handling of the economy. Yet the overriding story of the past few years is not Mr. Obamaโs mistakes but the scorched-earth opposition of Republicans, who have done everything they can to get in his way - and who now, having blocked the presidentโs policies, hope to win the White House by claiming that his policies have failed.
Paul KrugmanI'm not sure that the current value of the NASDAQ is justified, but I'm not sure that it isn't.
Paul KrugmanIt should be possible to emphasize to students that the level of employment is a macroeconomic issue, depending in the short run on aggregate demand and depending in the long run on the natural rate of unemployment, with microeconomic policies like tariffs having little net effect. Trade policy should be debated in terms of its impact on efficiency, not in terms of phoney numbers about jobs created or lost.
Paul Krugman