The historical record suggests that the transition to to a new hegemon has always been attended by what I have elsewhere called hegemonic war.
Robert GilpinThe opposing tendencies of concentration and spread are of little consequence in the liberal model of political economy.
Robert GilpinThe dreams of "leaving it up to the market" or of returning to a politically neutral gold standard cannot succeed because the nature of the monetary system has a profound impact on the interests of powerful groups and states. Affected groups and states will always try to intervene in the operation of the system to make it serve their interests.
Robert GilpinA prolonged and massive increase in aggregate wealth per capita has taken place over several centuries.
Robert Gilpin