The prevailing view has been that the market will earn a high rate of return if the holding period is long enough, but entry point is what really matters.
Seth KlarmanMy experience is that short sellers do far better analysis than long buyers because they have to. The market is biased upward over time-as the saying goes, stocks are for the long run.
Seth KlarmanThe risk of an investment is described by both the probability and the potential amount of loss. The risk of an investment-the probability of an adverse outcome-is partly inherent in its very nature. A dollar spent on biotechnology research is a riskier investment than a dollar used to purchase utility equipment. The former has both a greater probability of loss and a greater percentage of the investment at stake.
Seth KlarmanWarren Buffett is right when he says you should invest as if the market is going to be closed for the next five years. The fundamental principles of value investing, if they make sense to you, can allow you to survive and prosper when everyone else is rudderless. We have a proven map with which to navigate. It sounds kind of crazy, but in times of turmoil in the market. Iโve felt a sort of serenity in knowing that if Iโve checked and rechecked my work, one plus one still equals two regardless of where a stock trades right after I buy it.
Seth Klarman