The near absence of bargains works as a reverse indicator for us. When we find there is little worth buying, there is probably much worth selling.
Seth KlarmanThe average person canโt really trust anybody. They canโt trust a broker, because the broker is interested in churning commissions. They canโt trust a mutual fund, because the mutual fund is interested in gathering a lot of assets and keeping them. And now itโs even worse because even the most sophisticated people have no idea whatโs going on.
Seth KlarmanOne thing I want to emphasize is that, like any human being, we can discuss our view of the economy and the market. Fortunately for our clients, we don't tend to operate based on the view. Our investment strategy is to invest bottom up, one stock at a time, based on price compared to value. And while we may have a macro view that things aren't very good right now - which in fact we feel very strongly we will put money to work regardless of that macro view if we find bargains. So tomorrow, if we found half a dozen bargains, we would invest all our cash.
Seth KlarmanAnalysts recommendations may not produce good results. In part this is due to the pressure placed on these analysts to recommend frequently rather than wisely.
Seth KlarmanValue investors will not invest in businesses that they cannot readily understand or ones they find excessively risky. Hence few value investors will own the shares of technology companies. Many also shun commercial banks, which they consider to have unanalyzable assets, as well as property and casualty insurance companies, which have both unanalyzable assets and liabilities.
Seth Klarman