A commodity doesn't have the same characteristics as a security, characteristics that allow for analysis. Other than a recent sale or appreciation due to inflation, analyzing the current or future worth of a commodity is nearly impossible.
Seth KlarmanTo a value investor, investments come in three varieties: undervalued at one price, fairly valued at another price, and overvalued at still some higher price. The goal is to buy the first, avoid the second, and sell the third.
Seth KlarmanIt is crucial in a sound investment process to search a mile wide than a mile deep with they find something - also.. never stop digging for information.
Seth KlarmanSuccessful investors like stocks better when theyโre going down. When you go to a department store or a supermarket, you like to buy merchandise on sale, but it doesnโt work that way in the stock market. In the stock market, people panic when stocks are going down, so they like them less when they should like them more. When prices go down, you shouldnโt panic, but itโs hard to control your emotions when youโre overextended, when you see your net worth drop in half and you worry that you wonโt have enough money to pay for your kidsโ college.
Seth KlarmanIt's awful to have a depression, but it's a great thing to have a depression mentality because it means that we are not speculating, we are not living beyond our means, we don't quit our job to take a big risk because we know we might not get another job. There is something stable about a country, a society built on those values.
Seth Klarman