It's human nature to find patterns where there are none and to find skill where luck is a more likely explanation (particularly if you're the lucky manager).
William J. BernsteinMarket risk is like taking a plunge into a cool pool ... a lot of people are finding out right now what their risk tolerance is.
William J. BernsteinThere are two kinds of investors, be they large or small: those who don't know where the market is headed and those who don't know what they don't know. Then again, there is a third type of investor: the investment professional, who indeed knows he doesn't know, but whose livelihood depends upon appearing to know.
William J. Bernstein