Samuelson spotted a mistake in Bacheliers work. Bachelier's model had failed to consider that stock prices cannot fall below zero.
William PoundstoneSamuelson, however, hedged his personal bets - by putting some of his own money in Berkshire Hathaway.
William PoundstoneThe story of the Kelly system is a story of secrets - or if you prefer, a story of entropy.
William PoundstonePeople tend to be clueless about prices. Contrary to economic theory, we don't really decide between A and B by consulting our invisible price tags and purchasing the one that yields the higher utility, he says. We make do with guesstimates and a vague recollection of what things are โsupposed to cost.โ
William Poundstone