When one theory is simpler than its competitor, this fact is relevant to saying what the world is like.
Elliott SoberFrom the fact that E is evidence for T and the fact that T entails M, it doesn't follow that E is evidence for M.
Elliott SoberEarlier attempts to show that simpler theories always have higher prior probabilities have failed, but there is a restricted circumstance in which the claim is right.
Elliott SoberThis is not to deny that there are versions of theism that do conflict with evolutionary biology. Young Earth Creationism is an example; it claims that God created life on earth within the past 10,000 to 50,000 years. But other types of theism are different.
Elliott Sober