I tend to approach things from a physics framework. And physics teaches you to reason from first principles rather than by analogy.
Elon MuskPeople should pursue what they're passionate about. That will make them happier than pretty much anything else.
Elon MuskDoes the logic connect? What are the range of probably outcomes? You want to figure out what those probabilities are and ideally be the House. It's fine to gamble, as long as you're the House. Also, listen to critical feedback, particularly from friends. Generally they will be thinking it but they won't tell you.
Elon Musk