The first thing you have to do is understand what success looks like. And to understand what success looks like you have to understand the intent. If you understand that intent is to make sure the sea lines are secure, then suddenly bombing Kosovo makes sense, because you don't want Serbia to reemerge as a major power.
George FriedmanThe important thing in war is that there is an element of rage, but you must remain very distant from it.
George FriedmanConstraint theory defines for you what outcomes are possible and what outcomes are impossible. It also eliminates wishful thinking.
George Friedman