Constraint theory defines for you what outcomes are possible and what outcomes are impossible. It also eliminates wishful thinking.
George FriedmanConstraint theory asks: What is the price for doing this? Now one way around constraint theory is declaring your enemy crazy. Crazy and stupid are not concepts used in forecasting. When people say they're really stupid or they're crazy, that's laziness. That means I don't want to think through their position or about what they're really going to do.
George FriedmanBy the 20th century, war ceased to be an encounter between two armies. It became an encounter between two societies, because a factory worker producing a gun or a bomb is as deadly as a pilot.
George FriedmanIdealism is frequently another word for self-righteousness, a disease that can only be corrected by a profound understanding power in its complete sense.
George FriedmanThe important thing in war is that there is an element of rage, but you must remain very distant from it.
George FriedmanWell what are our geopolitical objectives? First, that North America be peaceful, prosperous, dominated by the United States. Second, that no nation be able to approach the United States militarily ... Those are the goals. It's very simple. We achieve that by making certain that all conflict takes place in the Eastern Hemisphere so we don't have conflict here.
George Friedman