The bottom line for housing is that the concerns we used to hear about the possibility of a devastating collapseโone that might be big enough to cause a recession in the U.S. economyโwhile not fully allayed have diminished. Moreover, while the future for housing activity remains uncertain, I think there is a reasonable chance that housing is in the process of stabilizing, which would mean that it would put a considerably smaller drag on the economy going forward.
Janet YellenIt slightly worries me that when people find a problem, they rush to judgment of what to do.
Janet YellenFor my own part, I did not see and did not appreciate what the risks were with securitization, the credit ratings agencies, the shadow banking system, the S.I.V.โs โ I didnโt see any of that coming until it happened.
Janet YellenOne common way of judging whether housing's price is in line with its fundamental value is to consider the ratio of housing prices to rents. This is analogous to the ratio of prices to dividends for stocks.
Janet Yellen