It slightly worries me that when people find a problem, they rush to judgment of what to do.
Janet YellenProductivity growth, however it occurs, has a disruptive side to it. In the short term, most things that contribute to productivity growth are very painful.
Janet YellenThe distribution of wealth is even more unequal than that of income. ...The wealthiest 5% of American households held 54% of all wealth reported in the 1989 survey. Their share rose to 61% in 2010 and reached 63% in 2013. By contrast, the rest of those in the top half of the wealth distribution ยfamilies that in 2013 had a net worth between $81,000 and $1.9 million ยheld 43% of wealth in 1989 and only 36% in 2013.
Janet YellenStrapped by tight credit and plummeting sales, businesses have overhauled the way they manage supply chains, inventory, production practices, and staffing.
Janet YellenThe average net worth of the lower half of the distribution, representing 62 million households, was $11,000 in 2013. About one-fourth of these families reported zero wealth or negative net worth, and a significant fraction of those said they were "underwater" on their home mortgages, owing more than the value of the home. This $11,000 average is 50 percent lower than the average wealth of the lower half of families in 1989, adjusted for inflation.
Janet YellenWill capitalist economies operate at full employment in the absence of routine intervention? Certainly not.
Janet YellenAlthough most Americans apparently loathe inflation, Yale economists have argued that a little inflation may be necessary to grease the wheels of the labor market and enable efficiency-enhancing changes in relative pay to occur without requiring nominal wage cuts by workers.
Janet YellenIf it were possible to take interest rates into negative territory I would be voting for that.
Janet YellenFirms don't just try to pay as little as possible to get the needed bodies on board; when there is unemployment, they ask themselves how wage cuts would affect the behavior of the employees. Would they quit or feel dissatisfied and work less hard on the firm's behalf if they feel that wage policies are unfair?
Janet YellenProspects for growth in the year ahead are solid at the national level, and of course, this can only be good news for the Bay Area and California as well. The U. S. economy has shown remarkable resilience in the face of some severe shocks - in particular, the surge in energy prices that began a couple of years ago and the devastation wrought by the twin hurricanes last summer.
Janet YellenInequality has risen to the point that it seems to me worthwhile for the U.S. to seriously consider taking the risk of making our economy more rewarding for more of the people.
Janet YellenThe lower half of households by wealth held just 3% of wealth in 1989 and only 1% in 2013.
Janet YellenIn 1977, when I started my first job at the Federal Reserve Board as a staff economist in the Division of International Finance, it was an article of faith in central banking that secrecy about monetary policy decisions was the best policy: Central banks, as a rule, did not discuss these decisions, let alone their future policy intentions.
Janet YellenI think it is appropriate to ask whether this trend is compatible with values rooted in our nation's history, among them the high value Americans have traditionally placed on equality of opportunity.
Janet YellenWe need to increase the transparency of shadow banking markets so that authorities can monitor for signs of excessive leverage and unstable maturity transformation outside regulated banks.
Janet YellenIn government institutions and in teaching, you need to inspire confidence. To achieve credibility, you have to very clearly explain what you are doing and why. The same principles apply to businesses.
Janet YellenThe past few decades of widening inequality can be summed up as significant income and wealth gains for those at the very top and stagnant living standards for the majority.
Janet YellenThe bottom line for housing is that the concerns we used to hear about the possibility of a devastating collapseโone that might be big enough to cause a recession in the U.S. economyโwhile not fully allayed have diminished. Moreover, while the future for housing activity remains uncertain, I think there is a reasonable chance that housing is in the process of stabilizing, which would mean that it would put a considerably smaller drag on the economy going forward.
Janet YellenFor my own part, I did not see and did not appreciate what the risks were with securitization, the credit ratings agencies, the shadow banking system, the S.I.V.โs โ I didnโt see any of that coming until it happened.
Janet YellenAfter adjusting for inflation, the average income of the top 5% of households grew by 38% from 1989 to 2013. ย By comparison, the average real income of the other 95% of households grew less than 10%.
Janet YellenTo me, a wise and humane policy is occasionally to let inflation rise even when inflation is running above target.
Janet YellenOne common way of judging whether housing's price is in line with its fundamental value is to consider the ratio of housing prices to rents. This is analogous to the ratio of prices to dividends for stocks.
Janet Yellen[A] major source of wealth for many families is financial assets, including stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and private pensions. ...the wealthiest 5 percent of households held nearly two-thirds of all such assets in 2013
Janet YellenMy bottom line is that monetary policy should react to rising prices for houses or other assets only insofar as they affect the central bank's goal variables - output, employment, and inflation.
Janet YellenLong-term unemployment can make any worker progressively less employable, even after the economy strengthens.
Janet YellenStores don't order merchandise unless they think they can sell it right away. Manufacturers and builders don't produce unless they have buyers lined up. My business contacts describe this as a paradigm shift and they believe it's permanent.
Janet YellenWe do not interpret bitcoin's popularity as having a relationship with the public's view of the Federal Reserve's conduct of monetary policy
Janet YellenListening to others, especially those with whom we disagree, tests our own ideas and beliefs. It forces us to recognize, with humility, that we don't have a monopoly on the truth.
Janet YellenIn the long run, outsourcing is another form of trade that benefits the U.S. economy by giving us cheaper ways to do things.
Janet YellenI'm just opposed to a pure inflation-only mandate in which the only thing a central bank cares about is inflation and not employment.
Janet YellenIndividuals out of work for an extended period can become less employable as they lose the specific skills acquired in their previous jobs and also lose the habits needed to hold down any job.
Janet Yellen