Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe imagination of the genius vastly surpasses his intellect; the intellect of the academic vastly surpasses his imagination
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe fragile wants tranquility, the antifragile grows from disorder, and the robust doesn't care too much.
Nassim Nicholas TalebHe who has never sinned is less reliable than he who has only sinned once. And someone who has made plenty of errors-though never the same error more than once-is more reliable than someone who has never made any.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb