Your reputation is harmed the most by what you say to defend it.

Comfort makes you weaker. We need some variability, some stressors. Not too much, but just enough.

Bitcoin is the beginning of something great: a currency without a government, something necessary and imperative.

He who has never sinned is less reliable than he who has only sinned once.

The rationalist imagines an imbecile-free society; the empiricist and imbecile-proof one, or even better, a rationalist-proof one.

People who forecast simply because "that's my job," knowing pretty well that their forecast is ineffectual, are not what I would call ethical. What they do is no different from repeating lies simply because "it's my job."

The inability to predict outliers implies the inability to predict the course of history