The problem of knowledge is that there are many more books on birds written by ornithologists than books on birds written by birds and books on ornithologists written by birds

Probability and expectation are not the same. Its probability and probability times the pay off.

Success is about honour, feeling morally calibrated, absence of shame, not what some newspaper defines from an external metric.

Political life loves some volatility.

Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.

A Stoic is someone who transforms fear into prudence, pain into transformation, mistakes into initiation, and desire into undertaking.

People who forecast simply because "that's my job," knowing pretty well that their forecast is ineffectual, are not what I would call ethical. What they do is no different from repeating lies simply because "it's my job."