The track record of economists in predicting events is monstrously bad. It is beyond simplification; it is like medieval medicine.
Nassim Nicholas TalebAs countries get rich they start increasing education and the very educated people tend to not like trial and error, because they think they're obligated to use the body of knowledge they have.
Nassim Nicholas TalebNever ask anyone for their opinion, forecast, or recommendation. Just ask them what they haveโor donโt haveโin their portfolio.
Nassim Nicholas TalebNever think that lack of variability is stability. Don't confuse lack of volatility with stability, ever.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb