He who has never sinned is less reliable than he who has only sinned once. And someone who has made plenty of errors-though never the same error more than once-is more reliable than someone who has never made any.
Nassim Nicholas TalebWhen an investor focuses on short-term investments, he or she is observing the variability of the portfolio, not the returns - in short, being fooled by randomness.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe fool generalizes the particular; the nerd particularizes the general; some do both; and the wise does neither
Nassim Nicholas Taleb