There is a certain category of fool-the overeducated, the academic, the journalist, the newspaper reader, the mechanistic scientist, the pseudo-empiricist, those endowed with what I call epistemic arrogance, this wonderful ability to discount what they did not see, the unobserved.
Nassim Nicholas TalebAnything that provides you with very, very stable income, very stable conditions, maybe generally stable, that often, it masks real risks, risks of blow-ups.
Nassim Nicholas TalebScepticism is effortful and costly. It is better to be sceptical about matters of large consequences, and be imperfect, foolish and human in the small and the aesthetic.
Nassim Nicholas TalebAn erudite is someone who displays less than he knows; a journalist or consultant the opposite.
Nassim Nicholas TalebIf you are in banking and lending, surprise outcomes are likely to be negative for you.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb