There is a certain category of fool-the overeducated, the academic, the journalist, the newspaper reader, the mechanistic scientist, the pseudo-empiricist, those endowed with what I call epistemic arrogance, this wonderful ability to discount what they did not see, the unobserved.
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe inability to predict outliers implies the inability to predict the course of history
Nassim Nicholas TalebThe twentieth century was the bankruptcy of the social utopia; the twenty-first will be that of the technological one.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb