If you have more than one reason to do something (choose a doctor or veterinarian, hire a gardener or an employee, marry a person, go on a trip), just donโt do it. It does not mean that one reason is better than two, just that by invoking more than one reason you are trying to convince yourself to do something. Obvious decisions (robust to error) require no more than a single reason.
Nassim Nicholas TalebYou get pseudo-order when you seek order; you only get a measure of order and control when you embrace randomness.
Nassim Nicholas TalebLife is a tightrope between two errors: generalizing the wrong particular and particularizing the wrong general.
Nassim Nicholas TalebIf I ask you to write down the last 4 digits of your social security number, and then take you out to lunch and ask you how many dentists there are in Manhattan, there's going to be a high correlation between those two numbers. What happens is that the number psychologically makes you feel confident.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb