The price earning multiple must be less than ten or the inverse of the long term corporate bond rate, whichever is the less.
Peter CundillThe company must be profitable. Preferably it will have increased its earnings for the past five years and there will have been no deficits over that period.
Peter CundillIn every analysis you need to isolate what the real assets are and you must not forget to examine the franchise to do business, to review the character and competence of the management and to estimate the outcome if the whole business had to be turned into cash.
Peter CundillYou find bargains among the unpopular things, the things that everybody hates. The key is that you must have patience.
Peter CundillI suspect that my thinking is an eclectic mix, not pure net-net because I couldnโt do it anyway so you have to have a new something to hang your hat on. But the framework stays the same.
Peter CundillThere is almost always a major blip for whatever reason and we have learnt to expect it and not to panic.
Peter CundillI try to keep in mind Oscar Wilde's comment that "saints always have a past and sinners always have a future," so no investment should be ruled out simply on the basis of past history. We focus on liquidation analysis and liquidation analysis alone.
Peter CundillTo put money into anything, anywhere, provided that the downside is measurable and acceptable and the chances of a good profit appear to be better than 50%. I will not take gambles, but it is part of my job description to be ready to take very carefully calculated risks.
Peter CundillThey really canโt afford to be contrarians. A major investment house canโt afford to do research for five customers who wonโt generate a lot of commissions.
Peter CundillLong term debt and bank debt (including off-balance sheet financing must be judiciously employed. There must be room to expand the debt position if required.
Peter CundillThe company must be paying dividends. Preferably the dividend will have been increasing and have been paid for some time.
Peter CundillThere will be losing years; but if the art of making money is not to lose it, then there should not be substantial losses.
Peter CundillI think that intelligent forecasting (company revenues, earnings, etc.) should not seek to predict what will in fact happen in the future. Its purpose ought to be to illuminate the road, to point out obstacles and potential pitfalls and so assist management to tailor events and to bend them in a desired direction. Forecasting should be used as a device to put both problems and opportunities into perspective. It is a management tool, but it can never be a substitute for strategy, nor should it ever be used as the primary basis for portfolio investment decisions.
Peter CundillThe price must be less than one half of the former high and preferably at or near its all time low.
Peter CundillTry to pick a fund manager who has a well-defined strategy, has been through these things before, and go invest and stay with him.
Peter CundillThere is always something to do. You just need to look harder, be creative and a little flexible.
Peter CundillThe difference between the price we pay for a stock and its liquidation value gives us a margin of safety. This kind of investing is one of the most effective ways of achieving good long term results.
Peter CundillJust as many smart people fail in the investment business as stupid ones. Intellectually active people are particularly attracted to elegant concepts, which can have the effect of distracting them from the simpler, more fundamental truths.
Peter CundillWe always look at the margin of safety in the balance sheet and then worry about the business.
Peter CundillWhat differentiates us from other money managers with a similar style is that weโre comfortable with new lows.
Peter CundillThe share price must be less than book value. Preferably it will be less than net working capital less long term debt.
Peter CundillWhy will someone sell you a dollar for 50 cents? Because in the short run, people are irrational on both the optimistic and pessimistic side.
Peter CundillThe most important attribute for success in value investing is patience, patience, and more patience. The majority of investors do not possess this characteristic.
Peter CundillOne of the dangers about net-net investing is that if you buy a net-net that begins to lose money your net-net goes down and your capacity to be able to make a profit becomes less secure. So the trick is not necessarily to predict what the earnings are going to be but to have a clear conviction that the company isn't going bust and that your margin of safety will remain intact over time.
Peter CundillIโm lucky to have the kind of life where the differentiation between work and play is absolutely zilch. I have no idea whether Iโm working or whether Iโm playing.
Peter CundillTo my knowledge there are no good records that have been built by institutions run by committee. In almost all cases the great records are the product of individuals, perhaps working together, but always within a clearly defined framework. Their names are on the door and they are quite visible to the investing public. In reality outstanding records are made by dictators, hopefully benevolent, but nonetheless dictators.
Peter Cundill