The first and most optimistic response was complete rational expectations econometrics. A rational expectations equilibrium is a likelihood function. Maximize it.
Thomas J. SargentWhen I was a graduate student, estimating and interpreting distributed lags topped the agenda of macroeconomists and other applied economists.
Thomas J. SargentI think you've got to watch out for anybody in high school who says he wants to become an economist.
Thomas J. Sargent