There are two processes which we adopt consciously or unconsciously when we try to prophesy. We can seek a period in the past whose conditions resemble as closely as possible those of our day, and presume that the sequel to that period will, save for some minor alterations, be similar. Secondly, we can survey the general course of development in our immediate past, and endeavor to prolong it into the near future. The first is the method the historian; the second that of the scientist. Only the second is open to us now, and this only in a partial sphere.

Achievement is not last, disappointment is not deadly: It is the mettle to proceed with that matters.

If two people agree on everything, one of them is unnecessary.

My hand seemed arrested by a silent veto.

It is remarkable that Lord Esher should be so much astray...We must conclude that an uncontrollable fondness for fiction forbade him to forsake it for fact. Such constancy is a defect in an historian.

The only statistics you can trust are those you falsified yourself.

Without courage all other virtues lose their meaning.