If people can construct a simple and coherent story, they will feel confident regardless of how well grounded it is in reality.
Daniel KahnemanThe amount of success it takes for leaders to become overconfident isn't terribly large.
Daniel KahnemanFacts that challenge basic assumptions-and thereby threaten people's livelihood and self-esteem-are simply not absorbed. The mind does not digest them.
Daniel KahnemanIn a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you'll never learn that you should have fewer ideas.
Daniel Kahneman