One of the problems with expertise is that people have it in some domains and not in others.

Many people will admit that they made a mistake [putting money in dot-coms or telecoms at their peak] But that doesn’t mean that they’ve changed their mind about anything in particular. It doesn’t mean that they are now able to avoid that mistake.

Endlessly amused by people's minds.

If you're going to be unreligious, it's likely going to be due to reflecting on it and finding some things that are hard to believe.

Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.

Negotiations over a shrinking pie are especially difficult because they require an allocation of losses. People tend to be much more easygoing when they bargain over an expanding pie.

We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.