We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events.
Daniel KahnemanClearly, the decision-making that we rely on in society is fallible. It's highly fallible, and we should know that.
Daniel KahnemanMy interest in well-being evolved from my interest in decision making - from raising the question of whether people know what they will want in the future and whether the things that people want for themselves will make them happy.
Daniel KahnemanI have always believed that scientific research is another domain where a form of optimism is essential to success: I have yet to meet a successful scientist who lacks the ability to exaggerate the importance of what he or she is doing, and I believe that someone who lacks a delusional sense of significance will wilt in the face of repeated experiences of multiple small failures and rare successes, the fate of most researchers.
Daniel Kahneman