Most of the moments of our life - and I calculated, you know, the psychological present is said to be about three seconds long; that means that, you know, in a life there are about 600 million of them; in a month, there are about 600,000 - most of them don't leave a trace.

We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.

It was always assumed I would be a professor. I grew up thinking it.

It's not a case of: 'Read this book and then you'll think differently. I've written this book, and I don't think differently.

The premise of this book is that it is easier to recognize other people's mistakes than your own.

There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it's been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey.

There is general agreement among researchers that nearly all stock pickers, whether they know it or not-and few of them do-are playing a game of chance.