I think it's important to reason from first principles rather than by analogy. The normal way we conduct our lives is we reason by analogy. [With analogy] we are doing this because it's like something else that was done, or it is like what other people are doing. [With first principles] you boil things down to the most fundamental truths…and then reason up from there.

Does the logic connect? What are the range of probably outcomes? You want to figure out what those probabilities are and ideally be the House. It's fine to gamble, as long as you're the House. Also, listen to critical feedback, particularly from friends. Generally they will be thinking it but they won't tell you.

Any product that needs a manual to work is broken.

If you think back to the beginning of cell phones, laptops or really any new technology, it's always expensive.

If you get up in the morning and think the future is going to be better, it is a bright day. Otherwise, it’s not.

I don't think it's a good idea to plan to sell a company.

We need to be super careful with AI. Potentially more dangerous than nukes.