America's downgrade may serve as a wakeup call for its policymakers. It is an unambiguous and loud signal of the country's eroding economic strength and global standing. It renders urgent the need to regain the initiative through better economic policymaking and more coherent governance.
Mohamed El-ErianThe theory is that if you take interest rates negative, people are going to say, "That's a silly game! I'm not going to lend my money to governments who want me to pay them. I am going to go into the stock market where I can get positive returns!"
Mohamed El-ErianIf you happen to be the only one with negative interest rates, you also weaken your currency, which means you make your exports more competitive.
Mohamed El-ErianAs we spend more, and as companies are pushed to invest, they say, "Hey wait a minute! There's more demand in the system. Let's invest more."
Mohamed El-ErianWe normally think if you're going to lend someone money, you should get some reward for doing this. In Europe, it's a tax!
Mohamed El-ErianIt is hard to imagine that, having downgraded the US, S & P will not follow suit on at least one of the other members of the dwindling club of sovereign AAAs. If this were to materialise and involve a country like France, for example, it could complicate the already fragile efforts by Europe to rescue countries in its periphery.
Mohamed El-Erian